How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the 2026 general election?
1
100Ṁ822026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
52%
0-4 deputies
26%
5-8 deputies
12%
9-12 deputies
10%
13+ deputies
How many deputies will Partido Missão elect to Brazil's Chamber of Deputies in the October 4, 2026 general election?
Context: Partido Missão is a newly registered right-wing party linked to the Free Brazil Movement (MBL). As a first-time party competing in a national election, forecasting their seat count is highly uncertain. This market captures the full range of possible outcomes.
Resolution: This market resolves based on the total number of deputies Partido Missão wins in the October 4, 2026 election:
Resolution will be based on official results from the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) at https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will Partido Progressista have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?
29% chance
How many seats will Milei's La Libertad Avanza coalition gain in Argentina's 2025 elections to the Chamber of Deputies?
Will União Brasil have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?
80% chance
How many of the original options in the "Brazilian Congress 2024-2026 Mega-market" will I resolve as YES?
Will Partido Novo gain at least 2 seats in the 2026 Brazilian national legislative elections to the Chamber of Deputies?
57% chance
Who will be on the ballot for the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
Who will win the 2026 Brazilian Presidential Election?
Will Republicanos have at least two ministerial positions in Brazilian government on March 31st, 2026?
32% chance
Who will win the 2025 Chilean Chamber of Deputies election?
Will Uruguay's Libertarian Party secure at least 18 Chamber of Representatives seats in the 2029 legislative election?
31% chance