Will Xi Jinping be the leader of China at the end of 2028?

Question

Resolves as YES if Xi Jinping is the leader of China on December 31st 2028.

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Image credits: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Xi_Jinping_%282018-09-11%29.jpg

Image source: www.kremlin.ru. Licensed under CC BY 4.0.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Likely — Manifold Markets prediction market estimates a 67% chance (26 traders, as of Jul 9, 2026).

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