Will Llama 3 (405B) be released before Aug 2024?
Basic
19
Ṁ3396
resolved Jul 24
Resolved
YES

Resolves to yes if LLama 3 is released before August 1st 2024.

Questions with the same criteria:

/RemNi/will-llama-3-be-released-before-aug (this question)

/RemNi/will-llama-3-be-released-before-sep

/RemNi/will-llama-3-be-released-before-oct

/RemNi/will-llama-3-be-released-before-nov

Other questions for Aug 2024:

/RemNi/will-gpt5-be-released-before-aug-20-f155aef83a4b

/RemNi/will-dalle4-be-released-before-aug

/RemNi/will-llama-3-be-released-before-aug (this question)

/RemNi/will-sora-be-released-before-aug-20

In order to qualify as released in the context of this question, Llama 3 must either be accessible to any consumer willing to pay, or free to access for anyone, in at least 4 of the following countries: USA, UK, France, Japan, India, Canada, Australia, Germany, Italy before the specified date.

A release of the text component alone is sufficient to resolve this question as YES. However, a staged release (a release of a smaller model than the largest version of Llama 3) is not considered to be the "release" in the context of this question.

If access is restricted (e.g. due to resource availability limitations) at this question's end date, then this market resolves as YES only if the majority of existing paying accounts on Meta's premium offer (if one exists for these models) that were subscribed a week prior to this end date can use the model. This must be true in at least 4 of the countries listed above. The anywhere on earth time zone is used for this question.

Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:

Llama 405b was released on 23 July. Account of market autor is deleted. Could moderator(or its equivalents on Manifold) resolve the market?

bought Ṁ493 YES from 98% to 98.6%
© Manifold Markets, Inc.Terms + Mana-only TermsPrivacyRules