Will Cat Ferguson win a UCI Women's WorldTour race in 2025?
1
100Ṁ10Dec 31
55%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Cat Ferguson, the 18-year old multi-discipline talent, is in her first year in the elite peloton with the Movistar team, and has already impressed with a 3rd place result in the Trofeo Binda. This market resolves YES if she wins a 1.WWT race, or a stage or the GC of a 2.WWT race, during the 2025 season.
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Related questions
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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