Saw Ben S's market on "Will a Manifolder win the summer cup" and wanted to make a similar market but for myself.
https://manifold.markets/bens/will-a-manifolder-win-the-summer-me
I will be competing in this tournament, and my final ranking will be the number here.
https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup-summer-2026/
My account is "Capital": https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/279247/
I'm a relatively new forecaster starting in December 2025, however had a great run in Bridgewater being 5th place out of 3k+.
I will have a stronger incentive to compete in this tournament due to this market.
Note: This is my second manifold.markets account, I have another account that's virtually broke but has over 100 trades in the past year.
Update 2026-05-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Bots do not count toward the ranking calculation.
1,000People are also trading
Traders, take note that I took an extremely contrarian position on the Ethiopian election question. My score will heavily be based on the result of this question.
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43455/of-seats-won-by-prosperity-in-2026-ethiopian-election/
First question resolved.
Currently 10th.
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/43311/verdict-in-musk-v-altman-et-al/
Forgot to add but bots don't count. By default they're already off the leaderboard placement though.