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MANIFOLD
What will be my ranking in the Summer Metaculus Cup.
2
Ṁ225Ṁ241
Sep 30
97 rank
expected
5%
1st
13%
2-5
29%
6-15
20%
16-50
7%
51-100
7%
101-200
5%
201-300
13%
Above 301

Saw Ben S's market on "Will a Manifolder win the summer cup" and wanted to make a similar market but for myself.

https://manifold.markets/bens/will-a-manifolder-win-the-summer-me

I will be competing in this tournament, and my final ranking will be the number here.

https://www.metaculus.com/tournament/metaculus-cup-summer-2026/

My account is "Capital": https://www.metaculus.com/accounts/profile/279247/

I'm a relatively new forecaster starting in December 2025, however had a great run in Bridgewater being 5th place out of 3k+.

I will have a stronger incentive to compete in this tournament due to this market.

Note: This is my second manifold.markets account, I have another account that's virtually broke but has over 100 trades in the past year.

Market context
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Ṁ1,000
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