If @NickAllen resolves his April Fool’s Day market ”NO,” will his Resolution Reliability be below Good on 5/1? | Manifold

If @NickAllen resolves his April Fool’s Day market ”NO,” will his Resolution Reliability be below Good on 5/1?

3

90Ṁ80

resolved Jan 19

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Context:

Meta-Forecasting

Predictions on Predictions

Meta-markets on controversial resolution

Controversial markets

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I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Hard Mode)

I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Hard Mode)

-20% 1d30% chance

Will this [Major Market] Resolve YES? (gauging resolve NA or %'s probability)

Will the market "Will I see today?" get resolved to NO?

Related questions

I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Hard Mode)

I will resolve this market NO at the end of July unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES (Hard Mode)

Will this [Major Market] Resolve YES? (gauging resolve NA or %'s probability)

Will the market "Will I see today?" get resolved to NO?

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