If @NickAllen resolves his April Fool’s Day market ”NO,” will his Resolution Reliability be below Good on 5/1? | Manifold

If @NickAllen resolves his April Fool’s Day market ”NO,” will his Resolution Reliability be below Good on 5/1?

3

90Ṁ80

resolved Jan 19

Resolved

N/A

1H

6H

1D

1W

1M

ALL

Context:

Meta-Forecasting

Predictions on Predictions

Meta-markets on controversial resolution

Controversial markets

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I will resolve this market NO at the end of June unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES.

+3% 1d10% chance

Will this [Major Market] Resolve YES? (gauging resolve NA or %'s probability)

Will the market "Will I see today?" get resolved to NO?

Related questions

I will resolve this market NO at the end of June unless I am persuaded to resolve it YES.

Will this [Major Market] Resolve YES? (gauging resolve NA or %'s probability)

Will the market "Will I see today?" get resolved to NO?

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