Will @NickAllen misresolve his April Fool's market?
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17
Ṁ895
resolved Jan 19
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N/A

Nick Allen created the following market and is considering resolving it NO as an April Fool's joke:

https://manifold.markets/NickAllen/this-market-will-resolve-yes-on-apr

This market will resolve yes on April 1, 2024.
70% chance. I won't bet in it.

This market resolves YES if Nick Allen resolves the market to NO or a probability other than 100%, or if the market is resolved to YES before April 1, 2024. It will resolve to NO if the market is resolved YES on or after April 1, 2024. If the market is resolved N/A or somehow ceases to exist, this market will resolve N/A.

This is all about the initial resolution. Re-resolutions don't matter.

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@PlasmaBallin This market shouldn't resolve NA. The market creator misresolved to NA today, this should now resolve YES


Edit: nevermind my bad they specified what would happen if it's resolved NA

Resolves N/A @PlasmaBallin

Isn't this functionally just a copy of my original question, though?

No, because of the possibility of re-resolutions (and also the stuff about early YES resolutions)

@NickAllen Always has been

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