Who will be the next premier league manager to leave their post?
3
2.1kṀ656
2026
13%
Oliver Glasner (Crystal Palace)
12%
Graham Potter (West Ham United)
12%
Ruben Amorim (Manchester United)
4%
Unai Emery (Aston Villa)
4%
Andoni Iraola (Bournemouth)
4%
Keith Andrews (Brentford)
4%
Fabian Hurzeler (Brighton)
4%
Scott Parker (Burnley)
4%
Enzo Maresca (Chelsea)
4%
David Moyes (Everton)
4%
Marco Silva (Fulham)
4%
Daniel Farke (Leeds United)
4%
Pep Guardiola (Manchester City)
4%
Eddie Howe (Newcastle United)
4%
Regis Le Bris (Sunderland)
4%
Thomas Frank (Tottenham Hotspur)
4%
Vitor Pereira (Wolverhampton Wanderers)
4%
TBC (Nottingham Forest)
4%
Other
3%
Arne Slot (Liverpool)

Resolution criteria

  • Resolves to the answer naming the first permanent Premier League first-team head coach/manager to leave their post after the market’s creation timestamp (UTC on Manifold). “Leave” includes being sacked, resigning, “mutual consent,” or departing for another job; moving into a different non–head coach role at the same club also counts. Interim/caretaker changes do not count unless the club had formally designated the person as permanent at the time of departure.

  • Evidence priority: (1) Official club announcement (news/statement page) with timestamp; if absent/ambiguous then (2) Premier League site article; if still ambiguous then (3) time-stamped reports from BBC Sport or Reuters. Earliest timestamp wins. If two departures are truly simultaneous by published time, use Reuters timestamps as the tiebreaker. (premierleague.com, reuters.com)

  • Rumors/reports without club confirmation do not count. Announced future exits (e.g., “will leave at season’s end”) resolve at the announcement time.

  • Only answers listed are eligible. If the first departing manager is not among the provided answers, the market resolves N/A.

Sources for resolution checks: Premier League managers overview; club sites via Premier League; BBC/Reuters for fallback verification. (premierleague.com, reuters.com)

Background

  • Context: The 2025–26 Premier League season is underway. For reference on current managers, see the Premier League’s 2025/26 managers hub and managers overview. (premierleague.com)

  • Most recent departure: Nottingham Forest dismissed Nuno Espírito Santo on 8 September 2025, the first managerial exit of the season. This market concerns the next departure after your market’s creation time. (reuters.com)

Considerations

  • Because answers are fixed (no “Other”), if an unlisted manager leaves first, this market will resolve N/A.

  • Temporary absences (medical leave, suspension) don’t count unless the club states the manager has left the role.

  • If a club re-titles the role (e.g., “head coach” vs “manager”), treat them identically; assistants or directors leaving do not count. (premierleague.com)

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