Will Google's Gemini LLM have qualitatively different capabilities to GPT-4? | Manifold

Will Google's Gemini LLM have qualitatively different capabilities to GPT-4?

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resolved Dec 6

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

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Will it e.g. have planning built in? Or more deeply embedded tool use? Or different multi-modal capabilities?

Resolves to NO if looks like increment on GPT-4 with just vision as extra mode

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Video + audio + image + text in. Image and text out. All trained together.

This qualifies as new. Resolving YES

Just to make sure, are people betting on YES for the video and audio modality?

Interesting question. I believe it would have some kind of tree search planning ability.

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Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?

Will Google Gemini do as well as GPT-4 on Sparks of AGI tasks?

Will "Gemini [Ultra, 1.0] smash GPT-4 by 5x"?

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