Will Google's Gemini LLM have qualitatively different capabilities to GPT-4? | Manifold

Will Google's Gemini LLM have qualitatively different capabilities to GPT-4?

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resolved Dec 6

Resolved

YES

1D

1W

1M

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Will it e.g. have planning built in? Or more deeply embedded tool use? Or different multi-modal capabilities?

Resolves to NO if looks like increment on GPT-4 with just vision as extra mode

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Video + audio + image + text in. Image and text out. All trained together.

This qualifies as new. Resolving YES

Just to make sure, are people betting on YES for the video and audio modality?

Interesting question. I believe it would have some kind of tree search planning ability.

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Will Google Gemini perform better (text) than GPT-4?

Will Gemini achieve a higher score on the SAT compared to GPT-4?

Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by the end of 2024?

Will "Gemini [Ultra, 1.0] smash GPT-4 by 5x"?

Will Gemini Ultra outperform GPT-4V on visual reasoning by the end of 2024?

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?

Will Gemini exceed the performance of GPT-4 on the 2022 AMC 10 and AMC 12 exams?

Will an open-source LLM beat or match GPT-4 by the end of 2024?

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