Will Google's Gemini LLM have qualitatively different capabilities to GPT-4?
51
755
Ṁ8.2KṀ935
resolved Dec 6
Resolved
YES1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will it e.g. have planning built in? Or more deeply embedded tool use? Or different multi-modal capabilities?
Resolves to NO if looks like increment on GPT-4 with just vision as extra mode
Get Ṁ200 play money
🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ243 | |
| 2 | Ṁ166 | |
| 3 | Ṁ91 | |
| 4 | Ṁ72 | |
| 5 | Ṁ61 |
Sort by:
Related questions
Will there be 20+ LLMs that match or outperform GPT-3.5's performance by the end of 2024?
89% chance
Will an LLM with less than 10B parameters beat GPT4 by EOY 2025?
84% chance
Will it be possible to run an LLM of GPT-4 (or higher) capability on a portable device by 2027?
47% chance
Will any open source LLM with <20 billion parameters outperform GPT-4 on most language benchmarks by the end of 2024?
15% chance
Did Google intentionally announce Gemini Ultra in a state barely outperforming GPT-4 to slow the capabilities race?
16% chance
Will LLMs such as GPT-4 be seen as at most just a part of the solution to AGI? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #7)
91% chance
Will the 400B+ open source Llama 3 model rank higher than GPT-4-Turbo-2024-04-09 on the lmsys leaderboard?
52% chance
Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?
39% chance
When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?
China will make a LLM approximately as good or better than GPT4 before 2025
64% chance