Will Google's Gemini LLM have qualitatively different capabilities to GPT-4?

935Ṁ8206

resolved Dec 6

Resolved

YES

ALL

Will it e.g. have planning built in? Or more deeply embedded tool use? Or different multi-modal capabilities?

Resolves to NO if looks like increment on GPT-4 with just vision as extra mode

Technical AI Timelines

Get

1,000

to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ243
2		Ṁ166
3		Ṁ91
4		Ṁ72
5		Ṁ61

3 Comments

44 Holders

114 Trades

Sort by:

predictedNO

Video + audio + image + text in. Image and text out. All trained together.

This qualifies as new. Resolving YES

Just to make sure, are people betting on YES for the video and audio modality?

Interesting question. I believe it would have some kind of tree search planning ability.

People are also trading

Did Google intentionally announce Gemini Ultra in a state barely outperforming GPT-4 to slow the capabilities race?

7% chance

Will Gemini outperform GPT-4 at mathematical theorem-proving?

62% chance

Will there be an open source LLM as good as GPT4 by June 2024?

12% chance

When will an open-source LLM be released with a better performance than GPT-4?

Will YouTube comments be part of GPT5 *or* Google Gemini's latest version by EOY 2024?

47% chance

Will LLMs such as GPT-4 be seen as at most just a part of the solution to AGI? (Gary Marcus GPT-4 prediction #7)

91% chance

Will Google Gemini rank above ChatGPT in the App Store at EOY 2026?

26% chance

🏅 Top traders

People are also trading

Related questions