This market resolves YES to the market answer that represents the final game choice of Share/Steal/Forfeit that Contestant B will make during Manifest 2025’s Nash Pit game show. All other market answers resolve NO. All resolve N/A if the game show does not begin. Anybody, anywhere in the world, is allowed to trade on these markets at any time they are open.

Contestant B:

[To be determined...]

The Twist:

[To be revealed…]

Twist’s MD5 Hash:

796f474b319bcd1fca6911b2e79783eb

Warning: The Twist can modify, add to, or delete anything on this market page as long as it doesn’t reduce the payout ratios or size of the pot. Nothing else is sacred. Trade with caution, and don't bet more than you're willing to lose. This Twist has been cleared as Community Guidelines compliant by somebody with the authority to do so, and they have promised not to share or trade with this information.

Sponsors:

/crowlsyong/risk-payment-portal @crowlsyong, for art assets

Contestant A's choice market:

The pot:

/Quroe/nash-pit-manifest-2025-the-ante-pot

Welcome to Nash Pit, the game show that exists because market forces demand it does.

This asymmetric game consists of 3 general parties:

· Host: Runs the game show.

· Contestants: Participants who make the final choice in the outcome.

· The Public: Anybody else not in the above categories.

2 Contestants and the Host will each ante at least 10k mana into a designated bounty market as a communal pot. Anybody may add more to the pot at any time before the game’s conclusion.

Each Contestant will choose and reveal the choice of Share, Steal, or Forfeit simultaneously at the end of the game during The Big Reveal. The Contestants and Host will win a share of the pot following this payout matrix.

Halfway through the game, a Twist will be revealed that alters either the game rules or the general dynamics of the game. The Host is cognizant of the Twist and can act/trade on this information if they choose to before the Twist’s public reveal, explained later. The Host may reveal what the Twist is to anybody, publicly or privately, before The Twist’s Reveal. The Twist is locked in at OR before the beginning of the game and cannot be changed from then onward. The Twist can change, modify, or add anything to this market page and game show that doesn’t reduce the payout ratio or size of the pot. Nothing else is sacred.

The game is split into several phases.

· Contestant Selection Phase (approximately 20 minutes): Contestants are selected. If no valid Contestant from that market can be selected, the Host will ask for a volunteer from the crowd to participate. For further rules on this phase, see this market.

· First Negotiation Phase (approximately 25 minutes): The game show begins now. Anybody, anywhere in the world, may make any legal and Community Guidelines compliant deals with anybody else, anywhere in the world, in an attempt to influence the final choices the Contestants make.

· The Twist Reveal (approximately 5 minutes): Trading on Contestant choice markets halts. The Twist is revealed. Its one-time or continuous effects become active, then trading resumes.

· Second Negotiation Phase (approximately 25 minutes): Anybody, anywhere in the world, may make any legal and Community Guidelines compliant deals with anybody else, anywhere in the world, in an attempt to influence the final choices the Contestants make, except now the Twist is publicly known and active/happened.

· The Big Reveal (approximately 15 minutes): Contestants meet back at the stage and secretly make their game choice. The Contestants lock in their choice, and then simultaneously reveal their choice to everybody at the Host’s direction. Any Contestant that fails to make a choice within a reasonable amount of time or fails to appear for The Big Reveal is assumed to have Forfeited.

Any legal and Community Guidelines compliant deal can be made between anybody, anywhere, at any time – with the Public, with the Contestants, even with the Host! Even with people not actively attending Manifest! However, these deals should generally be considered unenforceable by the game rules. Players may lie or deceive to manipulate the markets. Deals are generally not compelled to be upheld. Make deals at your own risk.

For each other's safety, please do not make any derivative markets about any rules or topics stated below.

If a Contestant OR Host becomes incapacitated during the game OR is reasonably unable to continue, then the pot shall never be paid out, and all markets run by this game show shall resolve either to Forfeit or N/A at the Host’s OR Manifold Mods’ discretion, based on best faith judgement of the factors at play. Rules stating that the pot shall never be paid out supersede any other rule if invoked. Being “reasonably unable to continue” shall be judged by whatever a reasonable Manifest event organizer would conclude. (Players should strive to be generally excellent to one another and look out for each other.)

Anybody deemed to be unreasonably disruptive to the safety OR well-being of anybody in the venue will be asked to leave. If this is a Contestant, then they have made the choice of Forfeit. At the discretion of Manifest event organizers and volunteers, if the Host is deemed to be unreasonably disruptive to the safety OR well-being of anybody, then they are not eligible for any reward from the pot.

If the Host no longer wishes to be Host, Contestants can agree on another non-Contestant person to be the Host, then the game show continues to the best of their abilities following the rules laid out above. Otherwise, if no alternate Host consents to the role AND accepts the role, then the pot shall never pay out. If the Twist is not publicly revealed when an alternate Host is instated, then it can only be enacted if somebody can prove they know it by publicly commenting the string on this OR the other Contestant choice market AND testing it against the hash at any time before OR during The Twist Reveal. If the Twist has not been revealed by the time The Twist Reveal has concluded, then it cannot be enacted from then on out, even if it can be proven against the hash.

This market description may be updated as long as it aligns with the self-evident spirit of the market. This rule should only be exercised as a fail-safe OR to correct grammar OR spelling errors.