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MANIFOLD
Will Ethereum's price decline by at least 2% on Tuesday June 13th, after May 2023 CPI data is announced at 8:30 AM EST?
7
Ṁ150Ṁ75
resolved Dec 2
Resolved
NO

Resolves to yes if and only if the price of Ethereum (ETH) on Wednesday June 14th, 8:30 AM EST is at least 2% lower than the price of Ethereum (ETH) on Tuesday June 13th at 8:30 AM EST.

  • Note: May 2023 CPI data is supposed to be announced at 8:30 AM, and will very likely be announced at that time or soon thereafter, but the resolution criteria in no way depend on when the decision is actually announced.

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Looks like the prices were very close. Pulling Coinbase data, I see 1751.86 at 2023-06-13 08:30 candle open, 1747.52 on the 14th. It declined, but only by 0.25%, not the required 2%. That appears consistent with the graphs posted below, which aren't clear about the time zones. USD seems like the correct comparison given the context.

Resolving No.

I can see the following chart on coingecko.com, which seems plausible.

predictedYES
predictedYES

Based on the historical data ETH doesn't seem to have fallen much on the days of previous CPI releases (and it seems they're not really that related anyways).