Will TA2 funding be solicited in 2025? [ARIA Safeguarded Programme]
3
100Ṁ21
2026
58%
chance

ARIA's Safeguarded AI programme is based on davidad's programme thesis, an ambitious worldview about what could make extremely powerful AI go well. ARIA aims to disperse £59m (as of this writing) to accomplish these ambitions.

https://www.aria.org.uk/wp-content/uploads/2024/01/ARIA-Safeguarded-AI-Programme-Thesis-V1.pdf

The Safeguarded AI agenda consists of world modeling and proof certificates to create gatekeepers, quantitative computations which simulate an action being taken and only pass it along to meatspace if it is safe up to a given threshold.

The Safeguarded AI programme is a sequence of three "technical areas" (TA1, TA2, TA3). TA1 began soliciting targets of the funding in April of 2024. When will TA2 solicit targets of funding?

Will resolve yes if ARIA opens a funding solicitation labeled TA2, even if TA2 undergoes substantial changes

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