An org founded via an FTX Future Fund grant has headcount >= 15 by December 31st 2022
13
163Ṁ179resolved Feb 15
Resolved
NO1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
"Resolving org must:
- Not have existed before receiving FTX Future Fund grant
- Provide enough information about headcount _publically_ to ascertain whether they resolve this market
Members of the group of 15+ employees may:
- be contractors, but ""defactor fulltime"" as subjectively ascertained by public information
- be part time, but listed directly on website as being a member of the org
- may NOT be listed as ""friends, collaborators, advisors""
If I can't find information on such an org by december 31st, market resolves to NO. Otherwise, YES. "
May 19, 5:31pm: regarding "existed", which was underdefined initially.
I think an org "exists" when at least one of "it has a website", "it is formally incorporated in some country", or "has received or paid money". I think if Alice writes on discord "me and Bob are collaborating" in january, and it circulates as a rumor until June when they publish their website, we say that from january to june their org did _not_ exist. Therefore, in this scenario if Alice and Bob's org received FTX funding anytime between february and may, and then went on to get headcount 15 by market close, I would resolve to YES.
Note that if say Alice contracts Caleb to do exploratory market research on her Bob collaboration, but no one knows but Alice, Caleb, and Bob, we presumably can't know that the org existed. So if that happened with Alice and Bob's org _before_ they received their FTX grant, and they got to headcount 15 by market close, I would resolve to YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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