Is Mahmoud Ahmadinejad alive?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ200Dec 31
89%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if clear and convincing evidence emerges this year that former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was alive at exactly 5 PM ET on 3/3/2026.
Resolves NO if clear and convincing evidence emerges this year that former Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad was dead at exactly 5 PM ET on 3/3/2026.
Resolves 50-50 if we reach the new year without a resolution.
I will rely on mainstream journalistic and/or scholarly sources and common sense.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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