In what year will Equatorial Guinea move its capital to Ciudad de la Paz?
2
215Ṁ332
2028
1%
2024
12%
2025
17%
2026
17%
2027
17%
2028
17%
Never (scrapped)
17%
Other

The capital of Equatorial Guinea is currently Malabo on the island of Bioko, but they are building a new capital on mainland Africa at Ciudad de la Paz. They began moving their headquarters there in 2017, but were building it earlier. I am nowhere near an expert on this topic, so please kindly inform me if I should make any changes, such as if it would be better to add/remove some answer choies. I will resolve to "Never" if there is an official statement from Equatorial Guinea saying that they have scrapped the plan. I will first wait a few weeks if such a statement comes out. If the statement is rescinded after I resolve the market, I will NOT unresolve it. I will add new answer choices after 2028 if I don't forget.

I will resolve the market to YES if both of the following conditions are met:

  • Equatorial Guinea officially declares that its capital is now Ciudad de la Paz

  • The Senate and Parliament of the Equatorial Guinean government relocate to Ciudad de la Paz, or an otherwise large enough amount of the government moves (this is obviously subject to opinion, but I'll follow the consensus of Manifold users)

Years are deliniated by midnight between December 31st and January 1st, using Equatorial Guinea's time zone (GMT+1).

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