Will resolution criteria be mandatory for new Yes/No markets on 06/06/2024?
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Ṁ2481
resolved Jun 7
Resolved
NO

Some markets suffer from nonexistent, poorly defined or ambiguous resolution modalities, causing drama and trouble.

In the market creation process, there currently is a "Description" field, but it is optional. There is no direct incentive for the creator to provide any criteria for resolution.

Resolution criteria:

  • Resolves Yes if there is a mandatory textfield (or similar) on the market creation screen, with the purpose of making the creator provide criteria for resolution

  • Resolves Yes if an existing textfield is extended or altered for the purpose of making it mandatory for the creator to provide criteria for resolution

  • Resolves Yes if the market creation process is altered in any way in order to make it mandatory for the creator to provide criteria for resolution

  • Needs to affect all users, not just new users

  • Something along the lines of "Please provide criteria" in an optional textfield does not suffice, it needs to be mandatory

  • It doesn't matter whether the exact phrases "resolution" and/or "criteria" are used, as long as the effect is sufficiently close to asking the creator for their resolution criteria

  • There are many ways the above criteria might miss the market's intent due to technicalities, thus: This will resolve to the market's intent according to my best judgement

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Let's try this again:

Manifold staff:

@Primer resolves NO. there's no requirement.

@Ziddletwix Thanks, I'll check in a few hours right before it closes.

@Primer sounds good! looks like it's still explicitly optional

I think it wouldn't do any good. Users could just repeat the question in the mandatory resolution criteria box, which would waste everybody's time.

You can't make people create good markets through rules - we have to incentivise good markets by preferentially betting on them and avoiding bad markets (reporting if they're really bad).

@Fion I think you can, just let people rate a market right from the start by asking them how clear they rate the resolution criteria.

I wasn't expecting any changes, but I also wasn't expecting the pivot ("We plan to significantly tighten rules for market resolution to eliminate abuse. Expect more rule changes.")...