Resolution criteria

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Verstappen signs a contract to drive for the Mercedes-AMG Petronas Formula One Team by December 31, 2025. Official announcements from Mercedes, Red Bull Racing, or Verstappen himself will serve as the primary sources for resolution. If no such contract is signed by the specified date, the market will resolve to "No".

Background

Max Verstappen, a four-time Formula One World Champion, is currently contracted with Red Bull Racing until 2028. Despite this long-term agreement, there has been speculation about a potential move to Mercedes. Mercedes team principal Toto Wolff has acknowledged interest in Verstappen, stating that "anything is possible" regarding future driver line-ups. (si.com) However, Red Bull's Christian Horner has dismissed these rumors as "a lot of noise," emphasizing Verstappen's existing contract. (reuters.com)

Considerations

Verstappen's contract reportedly includes performance clauses that could allow for early termination under specific conditions. (reuters.com) Additionally, Mercedes' current driver, George Russell, is out of contract at the end of 2025, potentially opening a seat. (reuters.com) Traders should monitor official statements and contract developments from both teams and the driver for the most accurate information.