2025-26 Ashes Predictions
17
650Ṁ3754
2027
99%
Hazelwood doesn’t play at all
96%
Sydney is a Draw
95%
Someone announces retirement
92%
Sydney gets rain
92%
Matthew Potts plays
90%
Head leading run scorer
90%
Boland plays all 5 games
83%
4 test debutants or less
80%
Starc MoTS
35%
Root makes a red ball 100
34%
Complaint about red Westpac Logo on Players Shirts
28%
Someone gets concussed
24%
Jamie Smith makes a ton
10%
Stokes isn’t captain for all the games
6%
Usman is dropped during the series
4%
Harry Brook gets a ton
3%
5 test debutants or more
2%
Jofra breaks someone’s bone
1%
Konstas plays a game

Resolution criteria

Each prediction will resolve as follows:

  • Aus Win 5-0: Resolves "Yes" if Australia wins all five Test matches in the 2025-26 Ashes series.

  • England doesn’t win a game: Resolves "Yes" if England fails to win any Test match in the series.

  • Sydney is a Draw: Resolves "Yes" if the fifth Test at the Sydney Cricket Ground (January 4-8, 2026) ends in a draw.

  • Sydney gets rain: Resolves "Yes" if any play is lost due to rain during the Sydney Test.

  • Harry Brook gets a ton: Resolves "Yes" if England's Harry Brook scores at least one century (100 runs) in any Test match during the series.

  • One test match has a winner by innings: Resolves "Yes" if any Test match in the series concludes with a team winning by an innings margin.

  • Pat Cummins doesn’t play all 5 tests: Resolves "Yes" if Australia's captain Pat Cummins does not participate in all five Test matches.

  • Stokes isn’t captain for all the games: Resolves "Yes" if England's captain Ben Stokes does not captain the team in all five Test matches.

  • Jamie Smith makes a ton: Resolves "Yes" if England's Jamie Smith scores at least one century (100 runs) in any Test match during the series.

  • Jofra Archer plays at least one test: Resolves "Yes" if England's Jofra Archer plays in at least one Test match during the series.

Official match reports and player statistics from the England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB) and Cricket Australia will be used to determine outcomes.

Background

The 2025-26 Ashes series is scheduled as follows:

  • First Test: Perth Stadium, November 21-25, 2025

  • Second Test: The Gabba, Brisbane (Day/Night), December 4-8, 2025

  • Third Test: Adelaide Oval, December 17-21, 2025

  • Fourth Test: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Boxing Day Test), December 26-30, 2025

  • Fifth Test: Sydney Cricket Ground, January 4-8, 2026

This series marks the first time since 1982 that the Ashes will commence in Perth, with the Gabba hosting its first day-night Ashes Test. (cricket.com.au)

Key players to watch include England's Harry Brook, who has been a consistent performer in recent series, and Jamie Smith, who has shown promise in domestic cricket. Jofra Archer is making a return to Test cricket after a prolonged injury hiatus. (reuters.com)

For Australia, captain Pat Cummins has been a pivotal figure in their bowling attack. Ben Stokes, England's captain, has recently recovered from a hamstring injury sustained in December 2024. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

  • Weather Impact: The Sydney Test is scheduled during Australia's summer, a period that can experience unpredictable weather patterns, including rain, which may affect match outcomes.

  • Player Fitness: Both teams have key players returning from injuries. Their fitness levels and performance could significantly influence the series' dynamics.

  • Match Conditions: The inclusion of a day-night Test at the Gabba introduces the pink ball, which behaves differently under lights and may impact batting and bowling performances.

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