MANIFOLD
2025-26 Ashes Predictions
17
Ṁ650Ṁ5.5k
resolved Jan 8
Resolved
YES
Sydney gets rain
Resolved
YES
Pat Cummins doesn’t play all 5 tests
Resolved
YES
Jofra Archer plays at least one test
Resolved
YES
Someone announces retirement
Resolved
YES
4 test debutants or less
Resolved
YES
Jacob Bethell Plays
Resolved
YES
Hazelwood doesn’t play at all
Resolved
YES
Matthew Potts plays
Resolved
YES
Starc MoTS
Resolved
YES
Head leading run scorer
Resolved
YES
Boland plays all 5 games
Resolved
YES
Root makes a red ball 100
Resolved
NO
Aus Win 5-0
Resolved
NO
England doesn’t win a game
Resolved
NO
Sydney is a Draw
Resolved
NO
Harry Brook gets a ton
Resolved
NO
One test match has a winner by innings
Resolved
NO
Stokes isn’t captain for all the games
Resolved
NO
Jamie Smith makes a ton
Resolved
NO
Jofra breaks someone’s bone

Resolution criteria

Each prediction will resolve as follows:

  • Aus Win 5-0: Resolves "Yes" if Australia wins all five Test matches in the 2025-26 Ashes series.

  • England doesn’t win a game: Resolves "Yes" if England fails to win any Test match in the series.

  • Sydney is a Draw: Resolves "Yes" if the fifth Test at the Sydney Cricket Ground (January 4-8, 2026) ends in a draw.

  • Sydney gets rain: Resolves "Yes" if any play is lost due to rain during the Sydney Test.

  • Harry Brook gets a ton: Resolves "Yes" if England's Harry Brook scores at least one century (100 runs) in any Test match during the series.

  • One test match has a winner by innings: Resolves "Yes" if any Test match in the series concludes with a team winning by an innings margin.

  • Pat Cummins doesn’t play all 5 tests: Resolves "Yes" if Australia's captain Pat Cummins does not participate in all five Test matches.

  • Stokes isn’t captain for all the games: Resolves "Yes" if England's captain Ben Stokes does not captain the team in all five Test matches.

  • Jamie Smith makes a ton: Resolves "Yes" if England's Jamie Smith scores at least one century (100 runs) in any Test match during the series.

  • Jofra Archer plays at least one test: Resolves "Yes" if England's Jofra Archer plays in at least one Test match during the series.

Official match reports and player statistics from the England and Wales Cricket Board (ECB) and Cricket Australia will be used to determine outcomes.

Background

The 2025-26 Ashes series is scheduled as follows:

  • First Test: Perth Stadium, November 21-25, 2025

  • Second Test: The Gabba, Brisbane (Day/Night), December 4-8, 2025

  • Third Test: Adelaide Oval, December 17-21, 2025

  • Fourth Test: Melbourne Cricket Ground (Boxing Day Test), December 26-30, 2025

  • Fifth Test: Sydney Cricket Ground, January 4-8, 2026

This series marks the first time since 1982 that the Ashes will commence in Perth, with the Gabba hosting its first day-night Ashes Test. (cricket.com.au)

Key players to watch include England's Harry Brook, who has been a consistent performer in recent series, and Jamie Smith, who has shown promise in domestic cricket. Jofra Archer is making a return to Test cricket after a prolonged injury hiatus. (reuters.com)

For Australia, captain Pat Cummins has been a pivotal figure in their bowling attack. Ben Stokes, England's captain, has recently recovered from a hamstring injury sustained in December 2024. (en.wikipedia.org)

Considerations

  • Weather Impact: The Sydney Test is scheduled during Australia's summer, a period that can experience unpredictable weather patterns, including rain, which may affect match outcomes.

  • Player Fitness: Both teams have key players returning from injuries. Their fitness levels and performance could significantly influence the series' dynamics.

  • Match Conditions: The inclusion of a day-night Test at the Gabba introduces the pink ball, which behaves differently under lights and may impact batting and bowling performances.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ124
2Ṁ105
3Ṁ65
4Ṁ60
5Ṁ48
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 YES
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy