
Will North Korea successfully launch a satellite in 2023?
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resolved Nov 22
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Jon Wharfpredicted NO
Is it a satellite, or is it just dead orbital mass? No signals have been detected.


JKSbought Ṁ5 of NO
In my mind, "satellite" implies that the probe be successfully placed into orbit. Does my assumption match your interpretation, and if so, how does this market resolve if it is found that DPRK's probe did not orbit the Earth at least once?


JKSpredicted NO
My question has more to do with the fact that the DPRK claimed to have put a satellite into orbit, but it has yet to be verified by other parties. How are we defining "successfully" in the question? In the event that the satellite is not verified by other parties, does their claim of success mean success, or are we defining success off of whether or not it actually achieved orbit?


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