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Is it a satellite, or is it just dead orbital mass? No signals have been detected.

@JonWharf Depends on the definition of satellite you're using. The moon is often described as a satellite of Earth, so a dead mass in orbit could count.

@Mqrius Generally e.g. dead rocket stages aren't regarded as satellites in normal discussions.

@JonWharf Yeah fair enough. Not sure we'll get more details on these objects any time soon though

Resolves Yes

In my mind, "satellite" implies that the probe be successfully placed into orbit. Does my assumption match your interpretation, and if so, how does this market resolve if it is found that DPRK's probe did not orbit the Earth at least once?

@jks You can have a geostationary satellite.

@BTE This is true. In the inertial reference frame geostationary satellites still orbit the Earth, once every 24 hours.

My question has more to do with the fact that the DPRK claimed to have put a satellite into orbit, but it has yet to be verified by other parties. How are we defining "successfully" in the question? In the event that the satellite is not verified by other parties, does their claim of success mean success, or are we defining success off of whether or not it actually achieved orbit?

DPRK space agency has a deal with Russia to put an NK cosmonaut into space, so maybe...

https://www.npr.org/2023/08/24/1195576463/north-korea-says-its-2nd-attempt-to-launch-a-spy-satellite-has-failed

North Korea says its 2nd attempt to launch a spy satellite has failed

The failed launch prompted neighboring Japan to issue a brief "J-alert" ordering some residents to evacuate to safe places as the North Korean rocket flew over its southernmost islands of Okinawa.