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2% to die in the next week, 5% to die in the 5 days after. Can't imagine actuarial tables drop that suddenly. Would it be that reports would have start to leak for the 21st if he is on deaths edge (but wouldn't for the 26th?). Or is this just an inefficiency one of the two ways.

@StopPunting Look at this market:

In a year, will I think Manifold has been a good use of my time? | Manifold

The author stated in the comments that it resolves NO in two days. It is now at 4%.

Depends on what’s on the menu

@wutangfran Peanut stuffed duck.

@SirCryptomind That might finish him off