Will any player score a hat trick in the 2022 FIFA World Cup?
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Will any player score 3 goals in one match during the world cup?
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There have been 7 hat tricks in the world cup this century. I think that's 373 games, so a rate of 1.9% per game. Extra time makes it a bit more likely, but (in my opinion more importantly) some of these were against the weakest teams, which have been mostly eliminated by now. If the rate is 1.5%, the probability of at least one hat trick in 11 games is about 15%.
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