
Will the Timescape theory seduce cosmologists?
12
1kṀ21482030
17%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There has been some recent media chatter about the Timescape theory, because of this new paper:
https://academic.oup.com/mnrasl/article/537/1/L55/7926647
News coverage:
https://theconversation.com/huge-if-true-dark-energy-doesnt-exist-claims-new-study-on-supernovas-246674
https://www.thequantumcat.space/p/the-week-in-space-and-physics-timescapes
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xoDPPuhASGw
By 2030, will a majority of cosmologists assign more than a 30% credence to a Timescape style theory?
By Timescape style, I mean:
- Rejecting the cosmological constant or dark energy
- Rejecting the cosmological principle
It should be pretty clear but if not I'll try to email some people, and for good beasure I won't bet on this market
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
Will the "Theory of Everything" be found by:
Will a theory of everything be found this century?
46% chance
Will physicists consider the universe locally-realistic in 2045?
25% chance
Will a 21st century scientific theory be explained in style of Dialogue Concerning the Two Chief World Systems by 2026
48% chance
Will we have the Theory of Everything by 2040?
18% chance
Will most physicists believe in a version of the Mathematical Universe Hypothesis by 2030?
8% chance
Will String Theory have experimental validation by 2050?
7% chance
Is Max Tegmark's mathematical universe hypothesis correct?
26% chance
Will a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
46% chance
Will a theory of everything (a theory that unites relativity and quantum mechanics) be found in physics by 2040?
26% chance