Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, in an officially published chapter of the One Piece manga released on or before December 31, 2026, Monkey D. Luffy is depicted as defeating Nerona Imu.

"Defeating" is defined as:

• Knocking Imu unconscious or rendering them physically unable to continue fighting.

• Killing Imu.

• Forcing Imu into definitive surrender or submission through physical combat.

If December 31, 2026, passes without an official chapter depicting such a defeat, this market will resolve to NO.

Official sources of truth for this market are the official English translations published on Manga Plus and VIZ Media. Early spoilers, unofficial leaks, fan animations, or anime-only material do not count for resolution unless confirmed by the official manga release on or before the deadline. If the manga is on hiatus and no qualifying chapter is officially published before December 31, 2026, the market resolves to NO.

Background

As of late 2026, the One Piece manga is serialized in the Elbaf Arc. Recent chapters (spanning chapters 1188 through 1192) featured a highly anticipated direct confrontation where Imu displayed overwhelming power against Luffy's Gear 5 form, prompting Luffy to team up with the giant prince Loki and other allies.

While the battle in Elbaf has escalated significantly, creator Eiichiro Oda announced during One Piece Day in August 2026 that the manga still has at least four more years of planned content. This has sparked intense debate among readers regarding whether Imu—who represents the ultimate authority of the World Government—will be defeated during the current arc, or if their final defeat will be saved for the absolute climax of the series.

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