Despite the hefty $3500 price tag, I believe Apple's VR-headset, the Apple Vision Pro, will be immensely popular and will sell out within the first 7 days of its launch. The condition for a 'yes' outcome is if, 7 days after its launch, the product shows a prolonged delivery time (more than 14 days) or is displayed as unavailable in the U.S.
Please note, if the product launch is delayed, the closing date of this bet will also be postponed accordingly.
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@SirCryptomind , thank you for pointing out the ambiguity between the title and description. Your observation is crucial.
Considering the discussions and the evidence provided by @mattyb and @probajoelistic , the Apple Vision Pro's demand has led to significant delivery delays. This aligns with the market's criteria despite the wording discrepancy.
Therefore, the market is resolved as a 'YES'. This decision reflects the product's high demand and the intent behind the market's creation, rather than the exact phrasing. Thank you all for your contributions, and let's aim for clearer wording in future markets.
@PontusAndersson The title says within 7 days but their description criteria says "on day 7"
Which is it?
⚠Traders be aware of this when placing predictions.
and will sell out within the first 7 days of its launch
description also affirms “within 7 days”
@mattyb
I would say that is just an opinion statement and not criteria.:
"Despite the hefty $3500 price tag, I believe Apple's VR-headset, the Apple Vision Pro, will be immensely popular and will sell out within the first 7 days of its launch.."
The criteria starts when it says:
"The condition for a 'yes' outcome is if, 7 days after its launch, the product shows a prolonged delivery time (more than 14 days) or is displayed as unavailable in the U.S."
But the title does say "will sell out within 7 days of launch" , so it is a bit messy, but the criteria is clear despite the difference in phrasing of question.
I doubt it was intentional to do this.
“Apple Vision Pro Deliveries Delayed to March in Sign of Early Demand”
https://finance.yahoo.com/news/apple-first-taste-consumer-demand-050100149.html
