Will the Ukrainian armed forces control >60,000 km^2 of Ukrainian territory on 26 March 2022?
19
22
resolved Mar 27
Resolved
YES
This market resolves to YES if on 23:59 of 26 March 2022, the Ukrainian armed forces control at least 60,000 sq km of Ukrainian territory. I will use maps from Wikipedia in adjudicating the result. See https://pontifex.substack.com/p/ukraine-might-win for background and discussion.
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I think there is a pretty high chance of at least 1/10 of the area still being under Ukrainian control