By what time will Israel and Hamas, agree to a ceasefire?
Basic
13
แน€1227
Jan 20
0.5%
By the end of July 2024
0.7%
By the end of August 2024
1.7%
By the end of September 2024
4%
By the end of October 2024
18%
Will happen after US Elections (5 November 2024)
47%
Will happen after next US government is sworn in (January 20, 2025)
28%
a ceasefire wont happen, war will only end when Hamas is defeated.

If the following events come to pass then, for the purpose of this question I will consider Israel victorious in Gaza without having to sign any more ceasefire agreements

  • Rocket attacks into Israel from Gaza stop for 2 months.

  • Attacks on military personnel and vehicles stop in Gaza for 2 months.

  • Entire senior leadership of Hamas is killed or captured.

  • All alive hostages are freed and remains of dead are returned.

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Precise definition of the senior leadership of Hamas please?

@mods please resolve july 2024 to No

Not possible unfortunately, since this is a linked multiple-choice question. It's an oft-requested feature to allow resolving some answers in linked multiple choice markets to NO early, but it's not currently possible.

Yeah I learned that the hard way. Its actually a good feature, but it should be clearly explained when creating the market

reposted

This is picking up