By what time will Israel and Hamas, agree to a ceasefire?
Basic
19
แน1486Jan 20
0.4%
By the end of July 2024
0.4%
By the end of August 2024
1%
By the end of September 2024
0.8%
By the end of October 2024
33%
Will happen after US Elections (5 November 2024)
60%
Will happen after next US government is sworn in (January 20, 2025)
5%
a ceasefire wont happen, war will only end when Hamas is defeated.
If the following events come to pass then, for the purpose of this question I will consider Israel victorious in Gaza without having to sign any more ceasefire agreements
Rocket attacks into Israel from Gaza stop for 2 months.
Attacks on military personnel and vehicles stop in Gaza for 2 months.
Entire senior leadership of Hamas is killed or captured.
All alive hostages are freed and remains of dead are returned.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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