I calculate a final average of 64.166%.

I must be dumb cause I'm not exactly sure what the "final average" is supposed to be here. I'm guessing is not just the chance at the market's close, right?

Edit: nevermind, I just had to read the other market's description

It's now impossible for it to exceed 64.2%, and, at the current percentage, it will easily exceed 64.1%. Since the outcome is guaranteed, there's no reason for it to go down from the current percentage.

@JosephNoonan this market is the reason! to make uhm $1k just gotta keep it there at 98.9% until close right? 😆

@deagol Yeah, but then everyone else can make mana by betting it back up.

@JosephNoonan I was being sarcastic. I’m pretty sure holding that one below 99% would would cost way more than 1k mana