Will RFK Jr. win more than 10% of the vote in any state or district in the 2024 presidential election?

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1kṀ31k

resolved Nov 6

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Resolves YES if he gets more than 10% of the vote in any state, the District of Columbia, or one of Maine or Nebraska's Congressional districts.

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bought Ṁ1,000 NO

Now that he's off the Utah ballot, no way.

bought Ṁ50 NO

Markets are now putting it at 50% he'll drop out

I think the HarrisX poll shows him at around 20% in Utah... so I think that warrants going a bit higher here