Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
Will at least 10 House races be decided by <1% in 2024?
8
Ṁ170Ṁ551
resolved Nov 22
Resolved
NO

Will there be >= 10 U.S. House of Representative elections with a margin of victory of <1%? Only counts the regularly scheduled races in November. Last year, exactly 15 were decided by this margin. In 2022, there were 11.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ170
2Ṁ13
3Ṁ3
Sort by:

Only 6 or 7 (PA-7 is right on the edge, but it appears to be slightly more than 1%).