Will at least 10 House races be decided by <1% in 2024?
Basic
6
Ṁ44Dec 1
67%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Will there be >= 10 U.S. House of Representative elections with a margin of victory of <1%? Only counts the regularly scheduled races in November. Last year, exactly 15 were decided by this margin. In 2022, there were 11.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the Republicans control the US House after the 2024 election?
99% chance
Will the Democrats win a majority in the House of Representatives in the 2024 elections?
4% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
82% chance
Will one party win at least 228 seats in the U.S. House of Representatives in 2024?
6% chance
Will the tipping point state in the 2024 election be decided by <1%?
9% chance
Which states will be decided by less than 5 points in 2024?
Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?
41% chance
Will at least 20 U.S. House races be decided by less than 3% in 2024?
60% chance
Which states will be decided by less than 10 points in 2024?
Will at least 15 U.S. House races be decided by less than 2% in 2024?
56% chance