MANIFOLD
Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
10
Ṁ150Ṁ1.5k
resolved Mar 14
Resolved
NO

This is based on the identical Metaculus question:

It has the same resolution criteria,

This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, a nuclear weapon detonates and kills at least 10 people. The detonation can occur for any reason, including tests and accidents.

Market context
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#TraderTotal profit
1Ṁ33
2Ṁ18
3Ṁ8
4Ṁ5
5Ṁ4
© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy