Will a nuclear weapon detonation kill at least 10 people in 2024?
6
34
Ṁ439Ṁ150
2025
2%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This is based on the identical Metaculus question:
It has the same resolution criteria,
This question will resolve as Yes if, in calendar year 2024, a nuclear weapon detonates and kills at least 10 people. The detonation can occur for any reason, including tests and accidents.
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