This is part of a series of questions on the predictions from the last Global Annual to Decadal Climate Update from the World Meteorological Organization.

The chance of the five-year mean for 2023-2027 being higher than the last five years (2018-2022) is also very likely (98%).

Will the mean global near-surface temperature across the entire period from 2023 to 2027 be higher than it was across the last five years? I will base the resolution on data from the WMO, if available. Otherwise, I will base it on the most reliable measurements I can find.