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The most divisive work was Infinite Jest.

https://plasmabloggin.substack.com/p/survey-results-pt-3-manifolds-favorites

Survey Results Pt. 3: Manifold's favorites

Alright, everyone. It’s time for the part I know you’ve all been waiting for. What were the winners of the Manifold’s favorites section, and which category had the mysterious upset? For anyone who doesn’t know how this works, I ran a series of free response markets asking what Manifold’s favorite movie, book, TV show, print comic, webcomic, song, video game, board game, role-playing game, short story, poem, podcast, YouTube channel, and play are. In each of these markets, users could submit any work they wanted as an option, as long as it was a member of the right category of work. Then, on my Manifold survey, I included a section asking what users thought of each option. They could either rank it as “Excellent,” “Good,” “Okay,” or “Bad,” or select that they hadn’t watched it, read it, heard it, etc. To determine “Manifold’s favorite” in each category, I converted these qualitative ratings into scores: Excellent = 2, Good = 1, Okay = 0, and Bad = -1, and then I added up the scores from each respondent to get a total score. I used a total, rather than an average, so that a work has an advantage if more people actually know about it - it wouldn’t be Manifold’s favorite if it’s only beloved by a small but dedicated group of Manifolders.

@JosephNoonan doing a quick Google made it clear why lol

Question: How did people think this market would resolve? The intention was to resolve it to the most divisive work on the entire survey, meaning that if it isn't one of the ones here, it resolves "Other". But based on how low "Other" was at close, I wonder if that wasn't exactly clear. Were people expecting me to resolve it to the most divisive option listed on the market, rather than the most divisive overall?

@JosephNoonan i expected this

@JosephNoonan wait so was the most divisive work not part of the options listed

@lag It was not

@JosephNoonan unfortunate

@lag So does this mean you were betting under the same interpretation I had (i.e., that it would resolve "Other" if none of the ones listed were the most divisive)?

@JosephNoonan I didn't really think about that cause I thought that it was going to be destiny

@JosephNoonan I think it should resolve "Other" in this case. I think people just didn't expect it to be an option that wasn't listed.

@JosephNoonan I also think it should resolve other to me. Otherwise, why is there even an 'other' option? The market was clear, if traders missed it it's their fault

Surprised no one else has added options. I picked some that I thought might be divisive, but there have got to be more, right?

The "Mr. Beat" option is meant to say "Mr. Beast". Coincidentally, Mr. Beat is also a YouTube channel (and a quite good one), but it wasn't on my survey.