Which states (or districts, etc.) will be decided by less than 5% in the 2024 POTUS election? | Manifold

Which states (or districts, etc.) will be decided by less than 5% in the 2024 POTUS election?

Basic

9

Ṁ2488

Nov 16

1D

1W

1M

ALL

95%

Pennsylvania

94%

Wisconsin

90%

The nationwide popular vote

89%

Arizona

88%

Georgia

87%

Nevada

84%

Michigan

73%

North Carolina

66%

NE-02

54%

New Hampshire

51%

Minnesota

45%

Texas

39%

Virginia

26%

New Mexico

25%

ME-02

18%

Florida

14%

Ohio

13%

New Jersey

12%

Alaska

9%

Iowa

Resolves to all options which which the winning candidate's vote share minus the runner up's vote share is less than 5% of the total votes from the region.

#2024 US Election

#Election margins

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As far as I could tell, there were 8 such states in 2020. idk almost anything about us elections, but unless you're expecting election results to be closer this time around, the options are currently too high

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