Which states (or districts, etc.) will be decided by less than 5% in the 2024 POTUS election?
5
34
Ṁ844Ṁ1.3k
Nov 16
1D
1W
1M
ALL
91%
Georgia
91%
North Carolina
91%
Pennsylvania
91%
Arizona
91%
Nevada
89%
Wisconsin
82%
The nationwide popular vote
80%
Michigan
52%
Florida
48%
Minnesota
46%
New Hampshire
46%
NE-02
42%
ME-02
41%
Texas
28%
Ohio
28%
Virginia
20%
Alaska
17%
Iowa
15%
New Mexico
7%
New Jersey
Resolves to all options which which the winning candidate's vote share minus the runner up's vote share is less than 5% of the total votes from the region.
Get Ṁ600 play money
Related questions
Which states will be decided by less than 5 points in 2024?
Pairwise state results: which pairs of states / districts will vote the same way in the 2024 Presidential Election?
Swing states of the future: Which states will be within 5 points in the 2040 presidential election?
What will be the tipping point state in the 2024 POTUS election?
How many states / districts flip in the 2024 election?
Will the winner of the 2024 POTUS election win more than 25 states?
45% chance
Will any state be decided by <0.5% in the 2024 election?
73% chance
Will any U.S. Senate election in 2024 be decided by less than 1%?
72% chance
Will at least 5 U.S. House elections be decided by less than 0.5% in 2024?
41% chance