Which changes made in the pivot will be reversed before the end of 2024?
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Plus
29
Ṁ3903
Jan 1
93%
Removal of loans
32%
Removal of house subsidies
10%
Real cash prizes
Resolved
YES
Removal of (most) N/A resolutions
Resolved
YES
Trading fees
Resolved
YES
Removal of unique trader bonuses
Resolved
YES
Removal of bounties
Resolved
YES
10x mana devaluation

Which changes made in the pivot will be undone before 2024 ends? To count as being undone, Manifold doesn't have to go back to exactly the same way things were before the pivot as long as the change, as stated in the option, is no longer an accurate description of the current state of affairs (e.g., if loans are brought back but smaller, I'll still count it as a reversal of removing loans).

Changes that were announced as part of the pivot but never implemented will count as being reversed (they were reversed before they were actually released), unless Manifold staff say that they are still planning to implement them later. Changes that were never part of the pivot and never announced to be part of the pivot will be resolved N/A (hopefully that's still possible to do on old markets post-pivot).

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Removal of loans

@PlasmaBallin resolves YES. i'm a non-mod and i can N/A now (posted in the discord but figured i'd post my screenshot to confirm if mods can't see this)

Removal of loans
bought Ṁ25 Removal of loans YES
Trading fees
bought Ṁ350 Trading fees YES

@PlasmaBallin resolves YES. fees were just removed

sold Ṁ10 Removal of loans NO

I didn't realize at first, but the update also changed the price of mana, so now 1 mana now costs 1 cent again, instead of $0.001.

Removal of (most) N/A resolutions

It's still impossible for regular users to resolve markets N/A, right?

@PlasmaBallin yeah, though they reversed the "please don't make conditionals" rule

@PlasmaBallin regular users are encouraged to ask mods to n/a

Removal of loans

@PlasmaBallin How will you count it if loans only come back for a handful of designated markets? Or, how will you count it if they start a completely unrelated loan program, such as manually giving out loans to certain power users?

I think if loans were only paid out for, e.g., long-term markets, that would still count. It would preserve the main effect that loans had in the past, incentivizing people to make bets that won't resolve for a long time.

Manually giving out loans I don't think I would count.

Removal of (most) N/A resolutions
bought Ṁ5 Removal of (most) N/... NO

I agree that this one has the highest probability of being reversed, but can a >90% chance really be justified?

Removal of (most) N/A resolutions

does this mean the NA cancelation is fully reversed? they've removed NA from the UI as of today, but Mods and Salty can still do it.

@shankypanky This option will resolve YES if it once again becomes possible for a normal user to resolve their own markets N/A under most circumstances.

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