Which 2024 GOP candidate will drop out next? (Round 3)
Mini
5
Ṁ1042resolved Jan 16
1D
1W
1M
ALL
100%97%
Ramaswamy
0.2%
Trump
0.5%
DeSantis
0.5%
Haley
1.5%
Hutchinson
0.3%
No one drops out before June 8.
This resolves to whichever of the five candidates above (the ones being tracked by FiveThirtyEight) drops out of the race for the GOP presidential nomination first, provided that they drop out before June 8. If no one drops out by June 8 (the date of the last caucuses), resolves to that option.
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Ramaswamy just dropped out a few minutes ago (first realized it after my market on how many delegates he'd get suddenly shot down). I confirmed based on NBC that none of the other four have dropped out (it shows a "dropped out" tag next to Christie and Ramaswamy, but not the others).
https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/live-blog/iowa-election-2024-live-updates-rcna133678