MANIFOLD
Which 2024 GOP candidate will drop out next?
8
Ṁ380Ṁ1.7k
resolved Dec 4
100%98.2%
Burgum
0.2%
Trump
0.2%
DeSantis
0.2%
Haley
0.2%
Ramaswamy
0.3%
Christie
0.5%
Hutchinson
0.1%
No one drops out before June 8.

This resolves to whichever of the seven candidates above (the ones being tracked by FiveThirtyEight) drops out of the race for the GOP presidential nomination first, provided that they drop out before June 8. If no one drops out by June 4 (the date of the last caucuses), resolves to that option.

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Does dying count as dropping out?

@josharian I would say no

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