When will be the next year that a presidential candidate gets at least 500 electoral votes?
Basic
4
Ṁ972101
21%
Before 2040
15%
2040 - 2048
13%
2052 - 2060
10%
2064 - 2072
10%
2076 - 2084
10%
2088 - 2096
10%
2100 or later
10%
U.S. government collapses, or the presidency no longer exists, before this happens.
Resolves to the next year that a single POTUS candidate gets at least 500 votes in the Electoral College. Faithless electors could affect this (i.e., if the candidate wins 500 votes in the election, but then one of their electors votes for someone else, it doesn't count).
If the years in which elections occur change so that it happens in between these ranges, I resolve to whichever year it is closest to.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will the 2028 U.S. presidential election end with no candidate breaking the 270-vote barrier?
25% chance
What will be the next year Texas votes for a Democratic presidential candidate?
How much time will elapse between one presidential candidate declaring victory and the other candidate conceding?
Will any US Presidential candidate get more than 97% of the electoral vote by 2100?
22% chance
How many electoral votes will the winner of the 2024 US Presidential Election have?
311
What will be the next US presidential election to elect someone in their 50s?
When will the US elect the first female President?
In what year will the Republican Party candidate for US President next win the popular vote?
When will a non-Republican candidate next win the presidency of the US?
Will the 2024 US presidential election be within 50,000 votes (for electors to the Electoral College)?
3% chance