What will be the next elementary particle discovered?
15
Ṁ700Ṁ4032051
22%
19%
WIMP
14%
New type of neutrino
8%
Axion
7%
X or Y boson
7%
W' or Z' boson
6%
Supersymmetric particle
4%
New quark flavor
4%
New charged lepton flavor
4%
Preon
3%
Graviton
2%
Magnetic monopole
What will be the next elementary particle discovered? To count as a discovery, it must be accepted to exist by the physics community.
Note: For this market, I am defining a WIMP as any fermion with mass that interacts via the weak force but not the strong or electromagnetic forces, isn't a neutrino, and isn't the superpartner of some already known particle.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What will be the next particle discovered outside the Standard Model (2022)?
Which hypothetical elementary particles will be discovered by 2060?
Will the LHC discover any more elementary particles?
8% chance
Will the Future Circular Collider discover any new elementary particle?
30% chance
Will we discover a new, (believed to be) non-composite particle by 2050?
40% chance
Will a new subatomic particle be experimentally confirmed to exist before 2040?
29% chance
Will a new fundamental physical force be discovered by January 1, 2040?
14% chance
Will the SHiP experiment at CERN discover any new elementary particles within 10 years of its completion?
19% chance
Will we discover a fifth fundamental force before 2050?
24% chance
By 2030, will the Mu2e experiment at Fermilab find signals of physics beyond the Standard Model?
27% chance