What is the earliest event that most Manifolders on my survey were around for?

Ṁ575Ṁ361

resolved Oct 10

100%28%

Whales vs. Minnows

When Manifold was still called "Mantic markets"

The 2022 midterms

"The Market"

The AI risk letter market

48%

The LK-99 superconductor market

Most Manifolders haven't witnessed any???

My survey asks which events respondents personally witnessed on Manifold. What is the earliest event that more than 50% of respondents will say they witnessed? The events are ordered from earliest to latest here.

See Plasma's Manifold Survey for other questions about the survey.

The survey is officially out! You can take it here: https://forms.gle/xZqWVxuY5irgLigu9

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It was close, but the majority were around for WvM and every event after it. Only 37.6% were around for "The Market".

https://plasmabloggin.substack.com/p/survey-results-pt-2-manifold-on-manifold

Survey Results Pt. 2: Manifold on Manifold

In my last post, I went over the results to the first two sections of my Manifold survey. This post will cover Section 3, which was about people’s opinions on Manifold itself. Who should be Trustworthy.ish? The first question on this section was, “Which of these Manifold users do you think should be Trustworthy.ish? (Currently, none of them are yet).” That actually turned out to be not quite true by the end of the survey, though, because Pat Scott, me, and jskf all became Trustworthy.ish shortly before the survey concluded.

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