[Anti-Whale Aktion] Will at least 70 users hold 20 or fewer NO shares in the Whales vs. Minnows market at close?
19
12
แน€370
resolved Apr 30
Resolved
YES

I will only include users who count towards the final point total (i.e., no alt accounts). As of the creation of this market, I counted 56, but I don't know if some of those are alts or not. Also, note that "at close" refers to the final closing date of the Whales vs. Minnows market, not this one.

Hopefully this one will be more interesting - I used way too low a threshold for the other one because I got confused by the "Positions" tab only loading the first five pages.

I will use 80% of the mana I make off of this market from the unique trader bonuses to buy ads encouraging people to bet NO on the Whales vs. Minnows market.

Link to the Whales vs Minnows market:

/IsaacKing/will-the-whales-win-this-market

Get แน€200 play money

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There are 209 shareholders with 20 or fewer shares. There hasn't been an official list of alts, but I'm pretty sure that's because the lead for Team Minnow was so overwhelming that there was no way the alt tabulation could affect the result. Based on that, I think it's fair to say that there's also no way alt tabulation could affect the result of this market, if it is ever even performed. If it somehow does, I'll ask an admin to re-resolve.

bought แน€800 of YES

My count is 202 (obviously including alts).

@Imuli 202? I get 209, based on the fact that there are 10 full pages of NO shareholders with <=20 shares, plus nine on the final page.

predicted YES

@JosephNoonan Huh, I'm going off the API positions data... oh! It's a rounding issue - there are 209 that with 1 <= shares < 21.

predicted YES

@Imuli (there are 2 with 0 < shares <= 1, and 9 with 20 < shares < 21)

@Imuli Ah, that makes sense. I'm pretty sure at the time I made this market, I didn't even know fractional shares were a thing, so the number of shares displayed on the Positions tab was I guess the intended number. Luckily it didn't end up mattering.