If you add interesting answers, they will then be included in the survey. The purpose of this market is to get tips on unexpected things that might correlate with conservatism. If you add uninteresting things or things that are already shown by a lot of research to correlate with conservatism, I may remove them at my discretion.
I will be running a big survey on things that correlate with political attitudes, especially conservatism. If a variable has a statistically significant correlation in the sample with self-rated conservatism, it will resolve yes.
I reserve the right to add controls as I see fit when testing the hypotheses. I will use my own common sense about what kind of controls are appropriate for what kinds of hypotheses, based on whether the correlation is still theoretically interesting without the control structure. My common sense might be different to yours. You have been warned.
1,000
3.00A few questions:
Is this just positive correlations or negative too?
Which statistical significance test will you use?
Would you consider normalizing your significance threshold so that a fixed fraction, maybe half, of the submitted options do or don't pass, so that they're not either all yes or all no?
Do options that don't get used in the survey, and options that have all non-troll respondents answering the same, resolve no or n/a?
Yeah it’s probably not unexpected/surprising at all. There is plenty of literature talking about conservatism being correlated with aversion to trying new things, higher disgust response, etc., and obviously there’s the culture war piece. But I do think it’s kinda weird if you remove the culture war and just look at trying to tie an aversion like that to conservatism as a philosophy (i.e. Burke). There I don’t see a clear connection, but I’m also no expert in that space. 🤷♂️
Veganism/Vegetarianism and people who acknowledge that the meat industry is unethical while being unable to resist meat themselves are all also very left coded imo, and many of those people that I've talked to also acknowledge that lab grown meat will probably be one of the most effecient ways to reduce the harm done by the meat industry, whereas I imagine conservatives are more likely to see it as a solution to a problem that doesn't exist.
Nope, just significance at the 0.01 level with a minimum sample of 500 and at least 500 conservatives
EDIT: This is a typo on my part. It should be 500 and at least 150 conservatives.
With a sample of only 500, you will need a very large difference to get that significance level
uh oh, that's not how I interpreted it when I bet on it. When I google "existential concerns" I get results about the big 5 existential concerns which are: awareness of inevitability of death, need to feel connected to others, a clear sense of who one is and how one fits into the world, experience of free will, and desire to believe life is meaningful. I am expecting conservative atheists to struggle more than liberal atheists with concerns over the meaning of life, free will, who they are, what will happen after death, and how they relate to other people, not that they literally worry about all humans dying.
My main takeaway is that for a correlation to be confirmed, it must be statistically significant… not just slightly different. I don’t know what the methodology will be (chi squared, Student t-test, significance level, sample size, etc,) but I would be cautious about predicting YES on some of the more ambiguous ones.