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MANIFOLD
Will Anthropic restore access to Fable 5 for US customers by the end of June?
4
Ṁ100Ṁ52
Jun 30
69%
chance

The United States Government has issued an export control directive to suspend all access to Fable 5 and Mythos 5 by any foreign national, whether inside or outside the United States.

Anthropic is currently disabling Fable 5 and Mythos 5 for all customers.

See https://www.anthropic.com/news/fable-mythos-access for more.

I will resolve this to YES if Fable 5 is generally available to US customers by the end of June. If Fable is available only on the API but is available to anyone who pays those per-token costs, I will still resolve that as YES.

If Fable is made available to all customers, regardless of nationality, this will also resolve YES.

See also: https://manifold.markets/PhilipDowdell/will-anthropic-restore-access-to-fa

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