Lukashenko ordered tanks to the border

https://kyivindependent.com/belarus-sends-troops-and-rocket-systems-near-ukrainian-border-after-alleged-drone-provocation-lukashenko-says/

It’s unclear if he is just posturing or Putin needs a distraction.

This resolves from any kind of projectile that travels into or within Ukraine by official Belarus troops (eg shahed drones included).

I will not be betting.