Will more large YouTubers join Manifold by the end of 2023?
39
1.3kṀ10k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

Lex Fridmen & CGP grey are both quite large creators that have joined manifold, with 2.85M and 5.85M subscribers Will another creator with greater 2 million subs join manifold by the end of the year?

Based on:

Apr 10, 9:31am: Will more large YouTubers join Manifold by the of 2023? → Will more large YouTubers join Manifold by the end of 2023?

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Bryan Johnson or someone claiming to be him has joined but his chanel only has 450K subs.

predictedNO

@Timothy Not enough to tip this market, but could tip the other one. Need a way to verify it’s actually him though

predictedNO

@PhatFree Probably not him. He suddenly went viral and exactly in that week he joins manifold very unlikely probably a fake. But I can't prove it either way.

predictedNO

@PhatFree

Seems to actually be him.

predictedNO

@JustifieduseofFallibilism Other market resolved. (100k users by 2024)

Why the different cutoff for subscribers? Took my position in this market assuming a 100k cutoff like in the other market, oops.

predictedNO

@jgyou Because I felt like 100k was a fairly low cut off point, and this is a different market, so why not?

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