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Last activity was was now over 6 months ago, at 15:00:11UTC on April 9, (it's 15:12UTC at time of writing) with a bet on third party presidency by 2040: https://manifold.markets/CGPGrey

I think it's safe to resolve this.

Seems fair to me, why buy up the market on if he'll come back though?

@Joshua Later date, I continue to be long 'funny outcome' overall.

Maybe he re-appears in the next 50 minutes and claims it hasn't been six months yet because Daylight Savings Time shouldn't count.

If I had a betting market on whether I'd come back in 6 months I'd probably come back (6 months-1 day) because it would be funny

Who the f is that guy?

I don't think he's used Manifold since April 9, fwiw https://manifold.markets/CGPGrey?tab=portfolio

@Conflux so, nothing until august 9 = resolve YES

underpriced

@ShadowyZephyr I think nothing until July 9 is three months? But the criteria for this market are a bit weird if you read the comments

@Conflux Apologize, I’ll update the description, it’s 3 months up to 3 months after the year. Or if he’s gone for 6+ months during the year. So Oct 9th.

If he abandons the website for three months and then returns before the end of 2024, does that count as YES?

(Right now, he's been away for 1+ month but could come back to resolve the 1B Market, say)

@jgyou This is a good question, I didn’t consider this enough, how about 3 months after 2024, or 6 consecutive months sound?

@PhatFree Sure

Does this count resolving his markets as engagement?

@Conflux I’m confused by or question, you’re asking if resolving a market counts and engagement? In theory yes but I think it’s slightly hard to track them bets & comments

@PhatFree Yes, I’m asking if resolving a market as engagement.

@Conflux *if resolving a market COUNTS as engagement.

@PhatFree When you say “in theory yes”, does that mean practically no, or practically you won’t check but will count it if someone posts evidence in the comments?

@Conflux I’m just not sure on how to do it easily, if someone shows me how I can, but if someone posts evidence I’ll count it as yes

@PhatFree If you click the three dots on a market, it displays resolution date

@Conflux Then yes it will count!

@PhatFree You could also just look at the graph...