On 2023 May 12, Elon Musk announced Linda Yaccarino as the new CEO of Twitter. But Elon is notably mercurial and chaotic, so anything could happen. This question tries to track that chaos by asking "Sure, Linda Yaccarino may be announced CEO right now but will that actually happen? Will she stick around?".
More specifically, this question resolves YES only if (a) there is credible media reporting that Linda Yaccarino has become CEO of Twitter AND (b) the year goes on without there ever being credible media reporting that Linda has ceased to be CEO of Twitter for any length of time. It resolves NO if at any point after becoming CEO of Twitter there is credible media reporting that Linda Yaccarino is no longer CEO of Twitter. It also resolves NO if there is credible media reporting that she never actually starts a role as CEO of Twitter.
Note that Elon making jokes about someone other than Linda being CEO (e.g., his dog) are not sufficient to resolve this market as YES - it must be credibly reported as fact, such as in an official legal document.
π Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | αΉ255 | |
2 | αΉ83 | |
3 | αΉ40 | |
4 | αΉ26 | |
5 | αΉ19 |
Seems this market and the related one are close but I think given there is half a year between them they seem too close (83% vs 80%).
https://manifold.markets/MetaculusBot/will-linda-yaccarino-be-the-ceo-of-ed98992f637e?r=cGFyaGl6ag